I
little bit like at Market Rasen on Saturday, I felt we knew our fate after a
couple of fences today…
In
truth, I was fearful before the tapes even went up.
It’s
rare that a front runner drifts on BF – yet Kerryhead Storm was available at
just over 4/1 at the off.
He
was 7/2 when I tipped him this morning – and 3/1 not long after – a drift like
that was unlikely to be a good thing…
I
guess in part, it was because some one knew that he wasn’t likely to get the
uncontested lead I’d hoped for.
As
it turned out, he barely managed to lead at all – with Moscow Me and Gold Ingot
hassling him throughout the early stages of the race.
That
wasn’t how it was supposed to be.
He
was supposed to be bossing the field – not competing for the lead.
By
half way, he was struggling in third place and whilst he stuck to his task as
best he could, he was always fighting a losing battle.
He
eventually came home a well beaten fourth – behind Moscow Me and Gold
Ingot.
Again, it was disappointing stuff – and I need to think
about whether I should be tipping in these small field, relatively low grade
races…
In
the other handicap chase on the Leicester card, I anticipated the pace a bit
more successfully.
Valadom did get the better of the ‘battle’ with Noble
Legend – but he was unable to withstand Mystifiable late on.
As I
said this morning, that one always had the potential to be the joker in the pack
– and backed down from 10/1 early to 9/2 at the off, I wasn’t too surprised to
see him come home in front.
Valadom ran a very honest race – and on better ground,
with no competition for the lead, he will take a lot of beating from his current
mark.
In
the final race on the Leicester card, I was most interested in Arkaim. However,
Tara Flow was one of the ones I feared – if strong in the betting.
He
was sent off a well backed 9/4 fav and duly came home an easy winner…
Over
in Ireland, Don Poli won the Lexus – but only just…
As
expected, On His Own put the pace to the race – and was still in with a chance
turning for home.
However Don Poli was within striking distance - and if
that’s the case, he normally manages to get there.
I
would still be a bit concerned about him in the Gold Cup – though you do have to
admire his battling qualities.
Certainly a narrow defeat of First Lieutenant, Fox Rock
and On His Own, is at least a stone below what will be required to win in
March.
Bryan Cooper seemed to get his fractions about right in
the Christmas hurdle - but couldn’t withstand the late challenge of the
Gigginstown owned Prince of Scars.
That
one had won handicaps on his 2 latest runs, so was stepping up markedly in class
to land the grade 1 prize.
It
will be interesting to see how far he can go – but in the relatively weak
staying hurdle division, it might be prudent not to underestimate
him.
In
the handicap hurdle on the card, Forever Gold got he better of Russian
Bill.
Malt Gem ran a reasonable, race – but was left behind from the second last.
Malt Gem ran a reasonable, race – but was left behind from the second last.
Finally, the beginners chase was won by Zabana, in quite
impressive style.
He
could well develop into a contender for the JLT chase at the
festival.
TVB.
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