I
should have known better than to suggest the other day, that we’d recently been
a bit short of runners up...
Over
the years, the service has had more than it’s fair share of second places – and
we got 2 more this afternoon, to add to the tally.
First it was Renard, who ran exactly the race I expected,
but was picked off close home by Minella Reception.
I
didn’t think there was a progressive horse in the race – but Minella Reception
was clearly just that, and he waltzed passed Renard between the last 2
fences.
In
fairness, to Renard, he battled on bravely, having probably done a bit too much
early, in the cheek pieces.
He’ll likely be dropped another pound or two – and on
truly soft ground, he could still have a relatively modest event in
him.
Next
up it was No Duffer.
The
market move (14/1 into 7/1) and the race position taken up by Paddy Brennan
(tucked in behind the leaders), made it clear very early, that we were on a
‘live’ on with him.
Unfortunately, he managed to bump into an even live-er
one !
Leo
Luna had shown absolutely nothing in 3 runs this season – and had plummeted down
the handicap as a result.
However, he too was very well backed and under an
aggressive ride from Jamie Moore, had too many guns for No Duffer.
It
was always a possibility - but it was a real shame…
As
for the mentions:
Then
Saroque could easily have been a third second placed tip on the day.
Again, he ran really well – but bumped into one, in the
shape of Fourovakind, who was returning to form, having shown little earlier in
the season.
And
again, the market foretold the improvement…
The
market also foretold the poor run by Pemba.
She
was odds on with bookmakers early this morning (around even money on BF) – but
had drifted out to 7/4 at the off.
The
story was similar with Winner Massagot and Simply Ned on Sunday – and again, the
layers got it right, as she weakened out of things up the straight.
The
area of laying weak favourites close to the off, definitely warrants
investigation.
Milansbar battled bravely to win the handicap chase – the
market didn’t say a lot about him pre-race.
It
didn’t day much about Albert Dolivate either – but he managed to bump into an
improver and was another one who had to settle for a second placing, thereby
capping a day of near misses…
Finally, just a reminder that as it’s a Friday, I will
open the tipping window at 6:00 in case there is anything I can tip this
evening in tomorrows big races.
TVB.
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